Last Modified: 19d3f39 on
2026-09-25
前些天看到reddit上有一个引发数千条共鸣的帖子：
I am done with this shit. It is over. The state of engineering right now is horrible. It has been half a month since I started a new role at a big company. Nobody knows anything here. The specs, code, tests, PRDs, tickets, resolution of those tickets, reports, etc., everything is made by Claude Code. Nobody on my team likes this. They are being forced to ship as much as they can. I have heard multiple times from higher management that pushing code is not a bottleneck, so why are we slow? People are working 12 to 13 hours a day just to press enter. Nobody is reading anything. Humans in corporate are doing nothing on their own. Everyone, literally everyone, from an L1 to an L7 engineer here is doing the same thing. Talk to Claude.
There is no sense of victory. Nobody is resolving bugs. In reality, nobody is thinking anymore. Everything is done by LLMs. It is so soul-sucking. I would not mind it, to be honest, if we were at least given the time to check out the code and see what is going where. But no, the goal is to just ship. No matter what happens.
其实可以说，因为计算机软件行业恰如其分，又因为计算机科学截至目前还是数学的分支，确定性逻辑的一部分，于是受到冲击比较大，也可以理解。
但整体这更多的是一个社会结构性变化的前奏，只不过别的领域“驰豫时间更长”罢了。
前面的一些博客里关于中国教育的特点、ai与基础科学困境、ai是否有威胁、本体论危机等讨论的很多了，这里不再多说。
现在的教育，在阶层赎买（思想观念遗留）、学历贬值（政府缓解就业压力、家庭提供继续投资希望、高校增加投资和教师就业等所引发）下已经越来越像庞氏骗局：心理机制上，我知道可能有问题，但我不能停，因为停了就前功尽弃；个人、家庭、社会层面上，用新投入掩盖旧亏空，直到新投入也撑不住。但刹车会让很多人痛苦，政府和各方也难办，于是就继续加码。
到未来本体论危机和结构变革真来的时候… 没人知道会怎样了…
中国整体情况其实更麻烦，因为本身还面临人口老龄化加剧后，人口红利消退，开始可能难以继续维持高速追赶跟进，因为事实上本身现在就还是，以工程师红利为核心去追赶，在别人首先开发出新的问题后。而不是提出一个新的问题。
以及中国的社会文化下，基尼系数 + 关系垄断共同作用下，一旦经济、社会两个不平等达成，且年轻一代感受到了心理不平等与落差，外加本体论危机，没有人知道会发生什么… 而人才外流 + 消费萎缩 + 内需崩塌 + 政治保守化再叠加，只会让事情更糟，只能希望下一任交接会是一个足够有魄力的领导班子了。
但总之，但需求是思想变革时一切都很困难且可能耗时很长。不会，确实危机是促进剂，或许能比预想的快很多吧。这就不是我们的能力范围了。
前些天看到reddit上有一个引发数千条共鸣的帖子：
I am done with this shit. It is over. The state of engineering right now is horrible. It has been half a month since I started a new role at a big company. Nobody knows anything here. The specs, code, tests, PRDs, tickets, resolution of those tickets, reports, etc., everything is made by Claude Code. Nobody on my team likes this. They are being forced to ship as much as they can. I have heard multiple times from higher management that pushing code is not a bottleneck, so why are we slow? People are working 12 to 13 hours a day just to press enter. Nobody is reading anything. Humans in corporate are doing nothing on their own. Everyone, literally everyone, from an L1 to an L7 engineer here is doing the same thing. Talk to Claude.
There is no sense of victory. Nobody is resolving bugs. In reality, nobody is thinking anymore. Everything is done by LLMs. It is so soul-sucking. I would not mind it, to be honest, if we were at least given the time to check out the code and see what is going where. But no, the goal is to just ship. No matter what happens.
其实可以说，因为计算机软件行业恰如其分，又因为计算机科学截至目前还是数学的分支，确定性逻辑的一部分，于是受到冲击比较大，也可以理解。
但整体这更多的是一个社会结构性变化的前奏，只不过别的领域“驰豫时间更长”罢了。
前面的一些博客里关于中国教育的特点、ai与基础科学困境、ai是否有威胁、本体论危机等讨论的很多了，这里不再多说。
现在的教育，在阶层赎买（思想观念遗留）、学历贬值（政府缓解就业压力、家庭提供继续投资希望、高校增加投资和教师就业等所引发）下已经越来越像庞氏骗局：心理机制上，我知道可能有问题，但我不能停，因为停了就前功尽弃；个人、家庭、社会层面上，用新投入掩盖旧亏空，直到新投入也撑不住。但刹车会让很多人痛苦，政府和各方也难办，于是就继续加码。
到未来本体论危机和结构变革真来的时候… 没人知道会怎样了…
中国整体情况其实更麻烦，因为本身还面临人口老龄化加剧后，人口红利消退，开始可能难以继续维持高速追赶跟进，因为事实上本身现在就还是，以工程师红利为核心去追赶，在别人首先开发出新的问题后。而不是提出一个新的问题。
以及中国的社会文化下，基尼系数 + 关系垄断共同作用下，一旦经济、社会两个不平等达成，且年轻一代感受到了心理不平等与落差，外加本体论危机，没有人知道会发生什么… 而人才外流 + 消费萎缩 + 内需崩塌 + 政治保守化再叠加，只会让事情更糟，只能希望下一任交接会是一个足够有魄力的领导班子了。
但总之，但需求是思想变革时一切都很困难且可能耗时很长。不会，确实危机是促进剂，或许能比预想的快很多吧。这就不是我们的能力范围了。